MARKET RISK INDICATORS

Shiller PE Ratio and CAPE Valuation

Explore the latest available US Shiller CAPE ratio, its historical chart and a clearly dated European CAPE research reference.

THE COMPARISON

United States and Europe

Each value carries its own observation date. Europe means the euro area unless stated otherwise. All charts share the same five-year window; shorter source histories are marked. Click a chart to inspect dated values.

01

Shiller P/E (CAPE)

A long-term valuation measure, not a market-timing signal.

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United States · Shiller S&P composite
40.7×
Observed 2026-10Last successful value
Previous: 40.6 × · 2026-09
Provisional monthly snapshot
FIVE-YEAR HISTORY

United States · Shiller S&P composite

Move the pointer or tap the chart to see the nearest recorded date and value. The slider supports arrow keys. Lines connect observations; intermediate dates are not additional measurements.

40.7 ×Provisional
25.429.734.038.342.72021-11-022022-11-022023-11-022024-11-012025-11-012026-11-02

Common window: 2021-11-02 – 2026-11-02. Monthly. Each chart has its own vertical scale. Dates without observations are not filled with invented values.

Robert J. Shiller · original research workbook · Original source ↗

Source & data status

Robert J. Shiller · original research workbook

Workbook notes: Oct price is Oct 2nd close; Sept/Oct CPI estimated; Oct GS10 is Oct 2nd value

Research data provided by Robert J. Shiller from public sources, without a guarantee of accuracy or completeness. The publisher and contributors are not registered investment advisers.

Original research workbook ↗

Frequency: Monthly. Retrieved: 2026-10-26 06:02 UTC.

Last attempt: 2026-11-02 05:57 UTC.

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Original source ↗
Reuse information ↗
Europe · MSCI-based CAPE reference
21.2×
Report published 2025-09Archive · not current

Published reference only. A dated European CAPE history is not available here; no trend chart is inferred.

Source & data status

Barclays Research / LSEG Datastream, reported by Robeco

Research reference: European CAPE equivalent found: Robeco Expected Returns 2026–2030, Figure 2.9, page 22. The report was published September 2025; the individual current-valuation observation date is not separately specified. This is one cited historical reference, not a current quote or a redistributable monthly feed. Broad Europe is different from the euro area. No report, chart or source database is mirrored.

Frequency: Published research reference. Retrieved: 2026-10-16 00:17 UTC.

Last attempt: 2026-10-16 00:17 UTC.

Original source ↗
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What this indicator tells us

Real price / ten-year mean of real earnings

CAPE divides an equity index’s inflation-adjusted price by its average inflation-adjusted earnings over ten years. Averaging reduces the influence of a single strong or weak year. A high ratio means paying more for historical real earnings; a low ratio means paying less.

The measure helps compare long-term valuations, but cannot date a market reversal. Accounting, industry composition, recession losses, buybacks and changing profitability affect interpretation. US and European markets need their own historical context.

The US series uses the ordinary CAPE column in Robert Shiller’s freely accessible workbook. Its latest monthly snapshot can contain estimated CPI or an incomplete month; source notes and provisional status are retained. A European equivalent exists: Barclays calculates MSCI-based European CAPE, reported in Robeco’s research. The card identifies an older published reference, not a current quote. Its report publication date is distinguished from an unspecified exact valuation date. One reference cannot supply a five-year trend, so no European history is invented.

What is the current Shiller PE ratio?

The US card shows the latest available original monthly Shiller workbook observation, which may be provisional. The European value is a September 2025 publication reference, not a current quote or continuous historical feed.

Sources, calculation and reuse notes ↗

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